The scale of victory of the Bharatiya Janta Party in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand was unexpected. The party might have been expecting a win, but it definately had not anticipated the scale of it and attributed the success to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s campaign in Uttar Pradesh.
It is a victory for the vision and decision making process and socio-economic transformation which are results of government policies and leadership as quoted by the Union Minister Nitin Gadkari.
People were probably expecting a win in Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh, but the margin is much more than what was anticipated.
The biggest victory was Uttar Pradesh. The BJP will rule the largest state in the country without the need of any allies and take pole position for the Lok Sabha elections in 2019.
After winning Uttar Pradesh in Lok Sabha elections in 2014, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) national President Amit Shah has once again proved that he is an unparalleled engineer of electoral strategies. The wave that led the BJP to sweep in Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections was carefully crafted by Shah over a long period when he camped at the Lucknow head office of the party and traversed the state for months, even landing in small towns in his chopper.
Shah has learnt from his successful experiment on the last Lok Sabha elections that the caste equations can work in the BJP’s favour if it is able to weave together the caste groups that don’t get proper representation in Samajwadi Party (SP) and the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).
His biggest advantage was Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s own background of other backward caste.
This has surely been the biggest victory in the history of Uttar Pradesh elections.
Now, for those who are confused about Goa and Manipur. In Goa (BJP+NPF+ 2 Independent) =22, Manipur(BJP+NPF+NPP+LJSP) =31, Government in both states. So, relax and enjoy. There will not be a hung assembly. Amit Shah declared it.
Now as far as Punjab is concerned, there was the same government for the past 10-15 years and anti-incumbency factor was natural.
Winds of change have started blowing in Uttar Pradesh. Samajwadi Party-Congress coalition, Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav’s pre-poll catchphrase “UP ko ye saath pasand hai”, has not struck the desired cord. The only sentiment which could be seen by the alliance of the two is to gain the votes from the backward and the minority community. But it seems people have grown to be smarter these days. This can be seen by the victory of the Bhartiya Janta Party even in the Muslim majority regions thus giving a strong statement that Muslims now refuse to see themselves as a mere vote bank. Thus, making the SP-Congress Alliance an epic failure.
It’s true that there were no obvious signs of anti-incumbency against Akhilesh Yadav but the endorsement sentiments to bring the incumbent back to power was clearly missing.
An excessive reliance of the SP-Congress coalition to woo Muslims had given rise to latent Hindutva sentiments across the state. The strategists perhaps erred in calculating the Muslims vote but they probably forgot that they are not the only ones who vote. Mayawati too had erred on the same count. Scratch a bit and Hindutva sentiments of non-Yadav and non-Jatav community came out to the fore. No wonder why the Samajwadi-Congress alliance failed to such an extent. The Bharatiya Janta Party were the obvious beneficiaries.
THE INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
Ever since the 2014 General Assembly Elections, the Congress Party have been stooping to an all-time low. This defeat of the Samajwadi-Congress alliance has probably affected the Congress more than anyone else. They were still trying to heal the wounds they received by forming an alliance in West Bengal that this happened. This though would have a greater impact. Rahul Gandhi being the face of the party in this Uttar Pradesh elections may suffer a huge dent in his career. He has constantly been inconsistent in the arena and with this huge defeat and the 2019 General Elections not so far, the party might think for a change in face.
Now with the largest state under their belt, the BJP might be dominating the upper house as well. Despite Lok Sabha being being in control, the Government seemed weaker in the Rajya Sabha thus not allowing the BJP led Government pass all those Bills with ease. It could easily be seen in case of the Demonetisation Bill. With the Saffronisation of both the houses of the Parliament, the BJP led Government will have the monopoly in law making.